Brad Wardell's views about technology, politics, religion, world affairs, and all sorts of politically incorrect topics.
Published on March 31, 2009 By Draginol In Politics

Anyone who reads enough of my posts can probably tell that I’m a kook. As I get older, I become more and more of a kook.  I have some theories as to why people in my position inevitably become more and more weird as they get older but that’s for another conversation.

Former speaker Newt Gingrich has a fantastic article pointing out something that many people who follow this stuff are not just well aware of ut preparing for but is probably news to most Americans: There is a pretty good chance that in our lifetime we will suffer a catastrophic terrorist attack in the form of an Electromagnetic Pulse (EMP).

Newt’s full article is here:

http://www.newsmax.com/newsfront/gringrich_emp_weapon/2009/03/29/197257.html

As he says:

On Feb. 3, Iran launched a “communications satellite” into orbit. At this very moment, North Korea is threatening to do the same. The ability to launch an alleged communications satellite belies a far more frightening truth. A rocket that can carry a satellite into orbit also can drop a nuclear warhead over any location on the planet in less than 45 minutes.

Far too many timid or uninformed sources maintain that a single launch of a missile poses no true threat to the United States, given our retaliatory power.

A reality check is in order and must be discussed in response to such an absurd claim: In fact, one small nuclear weapon, delivered by an ICBM can destroy the United States by maximizing the effect of the resultant electromagnetic pulse upon detonation.

An electromagnetic pulse (EMP) is a byproduct of detonating an atomic bomb above the Earth’s atmosphere. When a nuclear weapon is detonated in space, the gamma rays emitted trigger a massive electrical disturbance in the upper atmosphere. Moving at the speed of light, this overload will short out all electrical equipment, power grids and delicate electronics on the Earth’s surface. In fact, it would take only one to three weapons exploding above the continental United States to wipe out our entire grid and transportation network. It might take years to recover from, if ever.

Now personally, when I say there’s a good chance, I am saying that the odds are probably a bit better than 1 in 10.  But that’s still an awful big chance in my book if you have the resources to do something about it.  That’s why I’ve looked into Faraday cages and the new house I’m building is designed to be self-sufficient if necessary so that if something like this happened, my family and friends wouldn’t starve.

Consider this: Look at your own household and tell me how long you could survive without going to the grocery store for food.  2 days? 3 days? An EMP pulse, that North Korea or Iran is likely to be capable of producing in the next 5 years, would, as Newt says, take out our infrastructure for years. 

What does that mean? It means it would probably be a solid week before city water came back on-line. Electricity would likely be offline for months. But the real killer would be food. That’s because food must be shipped and an EMP would wipe out all cars and trains.  I have no idea how long it would take for food to start getting re-distributed but unless you lived in a major urban center where emergency supplies could be distributed, you’d be in big trouble (in other words, if you live in the subs, you’re going to likely die of starvation).  If this sort of thing happened in the Winter, you would likely be looking at millions of deaths.

So when friends come over to “Future House” and see the bee hives and the apple orchard and the gardens (my wife won’t let me have chickens unfortunately) along with the “Kook” supplies (i.e. the capability to defend our physical assets effectively) hopefully we’ll all have the benefit of just laughing at how weird I’m getting.  Hopefully I’ll always be just a kook as opposed to a survivor.


Comments (Page 3)
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on Apr 10, 2009

It's possible (even likely) this EMP thing will turn out to be basically hype, but as long as your preparations also prepare you for avian flu, Kristallnacht, flood, Y2K bug, etc, it's probably worthwhile.

It seems like EMP would be a really useful addition to the United States nuclear arsenal if it really worked.  Few civilian casualties, infrastructure only -- basically our whole Kosovo campaign in a can.  On the other hand, we might have to keep it secret because we would lose our nuclear deterrent effect if people thought we might do the humane thing and only retaliate with EMP.

Have you seen this Frugal Squirrels post about day-to-day post-collapse survival?  It has a few paragraphs on self-defense and country retreats vs urban survival.

on Apr 10, 2009

It seems like EMP would be a really useful addition to the United States nuclear arsenal if it really worked. Few civilian casualties, infrastructure only -- basically our whole Kosovo campaign in a can. On the other hand, we might have to keep it secret because we would lose our nuclear deterrent effect if people thought we might do the humane thing and only retaliate with EMP.

You are young and uninformed so I will bring this to your attention. lol The EMP thingie works. It has worked for about fifty years. Until now we did not have to worry about it because only responsible countries had access to these weapons. Now we have North Korea wth a dying dictator who just might want to make a big splash just before he has a one on one with God. What does he have to lose? He has cancer and is not long for this world so what if he starts a war that will kill three or four million of his starving countrymen.

Oh, for those that might be interested, Sprint has the only fiber-optic network outside of the Government. Fiber-optics are immune to EMP. So you people that wish to have phone service after an attack may want to switch phone companies.

on Apr 10, 2009

Oh, for those that might be interested, Sprint has the only fiber-optic network outside of the Government. Fiber-optics are immune to EMP. So you people that wish to have phone service after an attack may want to switch phone companies.

Sorry Paladin, but no dice there either. While the light traveling through the fiber is indeed imune, that fiber ultimately terminates to a device that then has to turn the light back into an electrical signal. This box would get fried, as would phone exchanges and core internet routers. So EMP's used properly could hoop us pretty durn' good.

As an aside, I remember reading that back in the cold war (I dunno if it was the 60's or 70's) One of the NATO countries got a hold of a MIG and were falling over themselves laughing because it's electronics were still based on vacuum tubes, no transistors. While technically obsolete, the use of vacuum tubes ensured that the planes electronic's suite would have no trouble working after being subjected to the strongest EMP around

on Apr 13, 2009

As an aside, I remember reading that back in the cold war (I dunno if it was the 60's or 70's) One of the NATO countries got a hold of a MIG and were falling over themselves laughing because it's electronics were still based on vacuum tubes, no transistors. While technically obsolete, the use of vacuum tubes ensured that the planes electronic's suite would have no trouble working after being subjected to the strongest EMP around

Yeah, 1977 or 78, a defector flew one to Japan, we did a full saftey inspection before sending it back. It was funny and scary at the same time. It used steel parts now light weight alloys and even thought it could reach mach 2 it had to do it in a dive and used up most of its fuel.

As far as the firber optic lines it is far easier to replace the circuts at either end than to replace the whole system.

on Apr 13, 2009

As far as the fiber optic lines it is far easier to replace the circuts at either end than to replace the whole system.

Also since fiber will not carry the pulse, it is also easier to harden each end (the circuitry). Military equipment has been, an is progressing, the change to fiber for well over 10 years now, from tanks to ships.

on Apr 13, 2009

The problem with the EMP too is that it would destroy our nuclear arsenal.  Our entire retaliation program would be within the 5-10 minutes we would have to launch as many nukes as we could, because after that, it's all dust.

As for fiber optics being immune... kind of silly IMO.  The normal wires for data transmission are also immune, because they're not going to be destroyed by a power surge like circuit boards.  In both cases, it's the equipment at either end of the line that will be gone.

on Apr 13, 2009

The normal wires for data transmission are also immune, because they're not going to be destroyed by a power surge like circuit boards.

Copper or other conductors would carry the pulse, glass fiber would not. The line themselves would be fine, even copper. Circuitry casings could be insulated. Not sure about the missile hardware itself, but silos can be protected.

on Apr 13, 2009

Circuitry casings could be insulated. Not sure about the missile hardware itself, but silos can be protected.

They are hardened for EMP but the best part of our nuclear defense is that we have three legs in the system. Bombers that are in the air most of the time. It used to be 24/7 but since the end of the Soviet Union that changed. Second we have silos scattered around the country, not all will be affected by one blast. And third we have missile subs out all over the ocean waiting for a signal from one of three satelites or no signal at all at certin times of the day. Water is a great insulator blocking EMP. So even if our communications were knocked out someone will get a lap full of nukes.

on May 15, 2009

An electromagnetic bomb or E-bomb is weapons build to disable electronics with an electromagnetic pulse (EMP) that can pair with electrical/electronic systems to produce destructing current and voltage surges by electromagnetic induction. The effects are usually not noticeable beyond 10 km of the blast radius unless the device is nuclear or specifically designed to generate an electromagnetic pulse.
----------------
Sean Cruz

outsourcing uk jobs

on May 15, 2009

Also since fiber will not carry the pulse, it is also easier to harden each end (the circuitry). Military equipment has been, an is progressing, the change to fiber for well over 10 years now, from tanks to ships.

I'm gonna have to restate my opinion that I think we'd be hooped pretty durned good. Perhaps military equipment is shielded properly against EMP, but all that other stuff that's responsible for everything from your phone and internet service to keeping the lights on definitely -is not-

While equipment certainly could be replaced it's not like there's a complete set of spares sitting around for every single router, phone switch and fiber mux on the continent (this would be the same as assuming that for every car on the road in North America today there's a spare backup sitting in a warehouse somewhere) We're talking about tens or even hundreds of thousands of very expensive devices, most of which are now manufactured exclusively in Asia (or if assembled in North America are dependent on components from Asia) and to boot all of this stuff is for a niche market. That means that while manufacturing capacity does exist, it's capable of cranking out only a fraction of what would be needed to replace an entire continent's infrastructure.

Assuming that we could make a phone call over to Asia to ask very nicely, we would have to wait awhile for them to ramp up their production of all kinds of gear and then ship it to us.

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