Brad Wardell's views about technology, politics, religion, world affairs, and all sorts of politically incorrect topics.
Tax payers vote Republican, Tax receivers vote Democratic
Published on July 22, 2004 By Draginol In Politics
Vote by Income All Gore Bush Buchanan Nader
Under $15,000 7 % 57 % 37 % 1 % 4 %
$15-30,000 16 % 54 % 41 % 1 % 3 %
$30-50,000 24 % 49 % 48 % 0 % 2 %
$50-75,000 25 % 46 % 51 % 0 % 2 %
$75-100,000 13 % 45 % 52 % 0 % 2 %
Over $100,000 15 % 43 % 54 % 0 % 2 %

Funny thing about numbers and what they mean.

Take this exit poll from CNN from the 2000 election. Overall, the voters are about even.

Most people who make less than $30,000 a year do not pay any federal income tax.  You may pay some at the time but you get a tax refund at the end of the year.  As someone who supports progressive taxes, this doesn't really bother me -- though I do think everyone should have to pay a certain flat fee so that they feel the pinch of what supporting expensive and wasteful federal programs means.

If you take out those two groups, you have 23% of the voters (at least) who pay no or virtually no federal income taxes.

So if you break it out like that you end up with:

% of pop Gore Bush
Not paying income tax 23% 55% 40%
Pay income federal taxes 77% 44% 48%

If one translates this to political party, you get an interesting picture. People who don't pay federal income taxes tend to vote for Democrats. People who do tend to vote for Republicans.  And in fact, the more taxes you pay, the more likely you are to vote for Republicans.

There are lots of conclusions one can draw to put either side in a negative light.  But it is an interesting fact how this works out.

Each side can charge the other side with "greed".  The rich want to keep more of their money.  The poor want more of someone else's money. 

My view is that the rich have a responsibility to their country to pay a greater burden of the taxes. The rich didn't get rich magically. They got rich largely thanks to the country we all built together.  However, at the same time, those who aren't paying into the system should quit bitching about how "the rich" aren't paying enough or that they're getting off easy.


Comments (Page 1)
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on Jul 22, 2004

There are a lot of trends that influence voting and which include but are not limited to, ethnicity, financial status, religion, education, sex, sexual orientation, profession, what part of the country you're from, children, age etc...  I found it interesting that people that have 4 year degrees and have a profession tend to lean more to the right, yet P.H.D's and teachers tend to lean to the left.  Cuban Americans tend to vote Republican yet Mexican Americans tend to vote Democrat.  Of course people with lower incomes that are from anywhere else other than the South have always been associated with voting democratic because of their social policies which are favorable to programs like welfare and the like.  I don't really have a point to argue here but I thought I could add some to this post.   

on Jul 22, 2004
The 4/6 split your analysis breaks (AT MOST!) out belies the title of your article. Just like many newspapers I've seen. Of course that doesn't make the inaccuracy any less irritating.

But it does continue to tell me that controversy sells better than accuracy ... Or that some people continue to hold beliefs (ie your headline), despite the facts (ie the body of your analysis).

As to your flat fee idea ... might have some merit, but if you were only making $20,000 a year, a $1,000 a year would be alot on top of whatever you already pay pay in various other taxes.

JW

on Jul 22, 2004

Jay,

I don't think the mandatory tax should be anything near $1,000.  I think it should be a set percentage of the overall federal budget that in 2004 dollars would be around $250 annually.  That way, if the federal budget grew, people would feel it.

on Jul 22, 2004
Really? The poor want money and the rich want to keep their money?

Duh.

Oh, and all an "annual tax-"-a flat FEE-(not PERCENT) does is entrench the poor and elevate the rich. The US tax system provides the "have nots" a chance to be successful without more chips stacked against them then there already are.
on Jul 22, 2004
I would have to agree that a "flat fee" does little to equalize the situation. Then again, does it necessarily have to be equalized? The goal of government should not be to equally distribute the wealth among its citizens (at least, not a Capitalist government).

It is fair to say, however, that historically the Republican party has favored the rich, which in turn causes the rich to favor that party. At some point, and for reasons I won't claim to understand, the Democrats have become the party of the disenfranchised and the poor.

What really does get my personal goat (poor goat; tired of being gotten all the time) is that any really creative accountant can set it up in such a way that their incredibly wealthy clients (those with more than $2 million in total assets) pay little or no taxes. On the average, people in the bracket of wealth pay a far lower percentage of their total income in taxes than someone in the Upper-Lower or Lower-Middle income bracket.

Most people who make less than $30,000 a year do not pay any federal income tax. You may pay some at the time but you get a tax refund at the end of the year.


I'd be interested to see where this information comes from. I personally paid a fair clip of Federal taxes each year I made less than $30,000. My wife continues to. Most people I know do unless they have more than 3 children, or pay outrageous interest rates on mortgages or other deductible loans.

Of course I'm torn on the issue. I'm not sure how fair it is to require someone to contribute more simply because they have more. On the other hand, it seems cruel to ask the same contribution from someone who struggles daily to make ends meet that is asked of the billionaire in the hills.

Last, but certainly not least, I do find the following rather insulting:

Tax payers vote Republican, Tax receivers vote Democratic


The idea behind this statement is that lower-income voters vote Democratic, and that wealthier voters vote Republican, as validated by the chart you provide. For this statement to be accurate however, it would imply that (at least) a majority of lower-income voters are receiving some sort of financial assistance funded by a Federal program. That might be true for those making less than $15,000, but not for the next bracket up. I would say that there are roughly as many people on the other end of that spectrum--those whose creative accounting exempts them from any and all significant Federal tax--as there are receiving Federal aid income.

What it boils down to is that the poor refuse to support a party that continues to legislate tax breaks and loopholes for the incredibly wealthy while ignoring the plight of those struggling in poverty. And the incredibly wealthy support such initiatives by Republicans because they don't want to part with what they have. But, really, is that news? I think the "Duh!" exclaimed above sums that up pretty succinctly.
on Jul 22, 2004
Grr.  I am not suggesting we eliminate the progressive tax system.  Good grief, I spelled it out in there: I am in favor of the progressive tax system but believe there should still be some minimum tax fee.  Because right now, 23% of the population, to use that exit poll, is overwhelmingly voting for the party promising to give them free goodies.  And why shouldn't they if they don't feel any pinch themselves for doing so?
on Jul 22, 2004

I'd be interested to see where this information comes from. I personally paid a fair clip of Federal taxes each year I made less than $30,000.

Perhaps you'd like to share your tax return then as I suspect you got most of that back as a refund. 

As for rich people getting tax loopholes, while there are certainly cases of that, it's not the norm.  The fact is, the top 5% pay half the income taxes in the country.  They're paying their fair share and then some.  Which doesn't bother me one bit until I see people who pay squat into the system complaining how easy the rich have it.

Who, after all, is greedier? The guy trying to keep the money he earned from working or the guy who demanding that other man's money for himself.

If you have a link to these tax loopholes, please let me know.  My taxes last year were in the six digit range. I've asked my accountants about these loopholes and barring very very specific cases for the mega ultra rich, they don't really exist.  But since you claim that the Republicans create them, you must be familiar with them so please pass on that info.

on Jul 22, 2004
i dont know where you get your figures, but i make between 26,000 and 28,000 and i certainly DO pay tax's, and no, i dont get it all back in refunds, i get some back, but not all...
not even close, hell 2 years ago, when i made less, i OWED
on Jul 22, 2004
"Most people who make less than $30,000 a year do not pay any federal income tax. "

That sounded fishy to me. I checked on an online tax calculators ( http://www.hrblock.com/taxes/tools/quickcalc/2003_quick_calc.html ), and someone (single, no deductions) making $30,000 pays about $2984 in taxes. Someone making $20,000 pays $1484 in taxes. You have to go down to $7800 not to pay income tax - but you still have to pay payroll taxes (not to mention state income tax and/or sales tax)

And as has been pointed out, $3000 in taxes is likely to be a lot more significant to someone making $30,000, than to the same person making $60,000 all other things being the same - especially since much more of the money is likely going to go to necessary products (shelter, food) leaving less disposable income.
on Jul 22, 2004
Ok, here goes. I am a single man (58 years), Retired Navy (21 years). My income from retirement is $17040.00 a year; this is my only income (by choice). I treal around this great country of ours in my pickup, and 5th wheel (this I find very informative, and enjoyable). Now of that amount indicated above the IRS takes out approximately $100.00 a month; along with that I have the Military pay department in Cleveland take out another $30.00. This $30.00 is so at the end of the year I will not have to fork over another $250.00 over and above what has already been deducted. Yes I did get a refund. Oh, it was $67.00 dollars.

Someone has for some reason started a rumor that is if you make less then a said amount you don't pay any taxes. Now that is only the federal taxes, the state in which I spend my winters and considered my home state, asked for a check in the amount of $35.00 Dollars.

I do not mind paying this tax; I just get tired of hearing people tell me that those who make less than (whatever) don't pay taxes.

And, yes, Draginol I would love to show you my taxes.

Lee
on Jul 22, 2004
Perhaps you'd like to share your tax return then as I suspect you got most of that back as a refund.


No, I didn't. I got less than 1/4 of what I paid out during the year back. And yes, I am just talking about Federal taxes, not total withholdings.

By the way, I'm not accusing you of suggesting we do away with progressive taxation. I didn't get that from your article. Even if I had, I wouldn't have called you on it. The truth of the matter is that I don't have the answer. The only thing I know for sure is that the current system is far too complicated, with too many provisions, exceptions, and loopholes (even if your accountant can't find them for you).

As for rich people getting tax loopholes, while there are certainly cases of that, it's not the norm. The fact is, the top 5% pay half the income taxes in the country. They're paying their fair share and then some. Which doesn't bother me one bit until I see people who pay squat into the system complaining how easy the rich have it.


Okay, so I understand the whole "The more you have, the more you want and the more you need" principal. I won't say that being rich is the cure for all sadness and that wealthy people have it "easy". The complications of great--or even moderate--wealth must by nature be significant. But there are also significant differences in the everyday concerns of the rich man and the poor man. The poor man may literally have to wonder where his next meal, or the meals of his children or other family members, will come from. Even $20k per year is barely enough to support a single person; and depending on circumstances, it may not be enough to even come close.

My wife and I are going to try to start a family next year. Between the two of us, we make enough to be considered Lower-Middle Class. We don't have many bills (some, but comparatively few). And yet we are constantly worried about the costs associated with pregnancy and delivery and childcare, etc. My concern isn't, "Can I send my child to some expensive private school?" Instead, it's "Can I pay for food and clothes and medical expenses for my child?" For the family pulling down half the money we do, I can't imagine how they do it. And for the family pulling down $12,000 per year, at which point they're paying taxes even considering the child tax credit, how on earth is it even conceivable they survive and provide their child with the basic necessities?

Yeah, I know the wealthy don't "have it easy". But come on...it's not the same sort of day-to-day struggle for survival as the very poor. Add to that the old adage "You have to have money to make money," which is so incredibly true on so many levels, and the wealthy man certainly has it easier than that poor man.
on Jul 23, 2004
"People who don't pay federal income taxes tend to vote for Democrats."
...
"And in fact, the more taxes you pay, the more likely you are to vote for Republicans."

This is a bit dodgey, you start out with a certain specific claim, then switch to a more general claim in conclusion.

As (http://www.calpundit.com/archives/000072.html) shows the general claim is not true, assuming you mean 'more taxes' as relative to income. In absolute terms it is still a valid claim, but that should surprise no one.
on Jul 23, 2004
Actually, there are only 2 voting groups according to Kerry-Edward and Bush-Cheney ad targeting. Kerry-Edwards target shows like Judge Judy that air in the middle of the afternoon and Bush-Cheney ads run in the evenings during programs like NYPD Blue. (Per a recent study by a WI think tank) Ostensibly, Kerry is targeting middle-aged women (my mom's middle aged and she ain't home in the middle of the afternoon) and Bush is going after working men.

on Jul 23, 2004
It's amazing how only people with a disagreement tend to reply.

I made less than 15,000 last year, and yes, I got almost all of my taxes back at refund. If one takes all of their deductions correctly, then I think your figures are in a pretty good ballpark. There are always going to be exceptions, but you've got the rule pretty close.

A local starving artist (I'm pretty sure that constitutes low income) got money to fund a public art project. No offense to him, but it is hideous and takes away from the feel of the town. Myself and other local residents fought (and failed) to keep him from building the thing. Now it's there, a half million dollars of federal program money, making the field down the road look rediculous. He doesn't even live here, and I don't think he felt the 'pinch' you reffered to.

I don't think the tax system is necessarily flawwed. I just think we need to reconsider where a LOT of this money is going, because it's nice to give an artist a fund, but how does that help anyone but the artist? I would like to live in a capitalist country, not a socialism.
on Jul 23, 2004
Poor people do not want other's money. They want their own. There are some people that get temporary assistance, there are some people that can't work. Most poor people are trying to take care of their family. You have a very prominent writer here that has said he is poor and wants no help. This is the way most poor people feel. They want to make their own way, so they work two jobs or whatever they have to do to make it on their own.
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