Brad Wardell's views about technology, politics, religion, world affairs, and all sorts of politically incorrect topics.
Published on October 17, 2008 By Draginol In Politics

Good article at the WSJ discussing the likely results of the upcoming election.

- Medicare for all. When HillaryCare cratered in 1994, the Democrats concluded they had overreached, so they carved up the old agenda into smaller incremental steps, such as Schip for children. A strongly Democratic Congress is now likely to lay the final flagstones on the path to government-run health insurance from cradle to grave.

Mr. Obama wants to build a public insurance program, modeled after Medicare and open to everyone of any income. According to the Lewin Group, the gold standard of health policy analysis, the Obama plan would shift between 32 million and 52 million from private coverage to the huge new entitlement. Like Medicare or the Canadian system, this would never be repealed.

The commitments would start slow, so as not to cause immediate alarm. But as U.S. health-care spending flowed into the default government options, taxes would have to rise or services would be rationed, or both. Single payer is the inevitable next step, as Mr. Obama has already said is his ultimate ideal.

- The business climate. "We have some harsh decisions to make," Speaker Nancy Pelosi warned recently, speaking about retribution for the financial panic. Look for a replay of the Pecora hearings of the 1930s, with Henry Waxman, John Conyers and Ed Markey sponsoring ritual hangings to further their agenda to control more of the private economy. The financial industry will get an overhaul in any case, but telecom, biotech and drug makers, among many others, can expect to be investigated and face new, more onerous rules. See the "Issues and Legislation" tab on Mr. Waxman's Web site for a not-so-brief target list.

The danger is that Democrats could cause the economic downturn to last longer than it otherwise will by enacting regulatory overkill like Sarbanes-Oxley. Something more punitive is likely as well, for instance a windfall profits tax on oil, and maybe other industries.

- Union supremacy. One program certain to be given right of way is "card check." Unions have been in decline for decades, now claiming only 7.4% of the private-sector work force, so Big Labor wants to trash the secret-ballot elections that have been in place since the 1930s. The "Employee Free Choice Act" would convert workplaces into union shops merely by gathering signatures from a majority of employees, which means organizers could strongarm those who opposed such a petition.

The bill also imposes a compulsory arbitration regime that results in an automatic two-year union "contract" after 130 days of failed negotiation. The point is to force businesses to recognize a union whether the workers support it or not. This would be the biggest pro-union shift in the balance of labor-management power since the Wagner Act of 1935.

Read the whole thing: http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122420205889842989.html


Comments (Page 1)
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on Oct 17, 2008

Unions had their place... they're now quite defunct, and corrupt.

Any time somebody asks me about joining a union all I can imagine is people who are paid to ensure I devote money to them which may, or may not, result in better benefits for me... and in some cases the loss of my job.

If the Union Talks fail, and they go on strike... they replace you.  There are enough people looking for honest work to replace underlings now and days... underlings who were fired because of dishonest work.

on Oct 18, 2008

Wow, I don't know how this can be a good article, since this is one piece of a big FUD writing.

 

So, all of these changes will be negative to Americans? If left-wing supermajority will be bad, then how about what did the six-year right-wing supermajority brought to Americans? You may argue that the article never said the changes will be 'bad', but we all can feel a strong negativety from the tones and word usage, like this "Americans voting for "change" should know they may get far more than they ever imagined." Wow, such a nice way to create fear.

I just don't see this article is 'good.'  By the way, even us poor Koreans have universal healthcare system. That's pretty much standard for all of well-developed countries except USA.

on Oct 18, 2008

Wow, I don't know how this can be a good article, since this is one piece of a big FUD writing.

Only for the naive. There has not been a "right wing supermajority" in living memory.

On topic: No surprises there Brad.  Look at the Dept of Education?  Creeping incrementalism.  Once a program gets entrenched, there is no removing it.  And like the new deal of the 30s, this recession is going to be made worse.  But most people will not realize it as the willing propaganda arm of the liberals will make sure that the hype continues.

The difference between 2002-2006, and the next 4 years?  The next 4 years will have all 4 branches.  Not just 2 or 3.

on Oct 18, 2008

Union supremacy

You may get it, but there's a good chance you won't. To give you an example, in the UK we currently have the labour government in power. To appeal more to the electorate, they decided to rebrand themselves and no longer be the strong pro-Union party that they were historically. The result is that while unions have caused some problems over the years they've been in power, they haven't strengthened them specially, and have often been opposing them in some areas (since you're much more likely to have a striking union in a public sector of the economy than in a private sector).

Now the main point of this? Well this same party receives something like 90% of it's funding from the Unions (I can't be bothered to check the specific figure, but it's definitely around there). So, even though they were historically the party of the unions, and are funded almost entirely by the unions, they have still recognised that increasing the role of trade unions isn't actually a good thing. Therefore I wouldn't be surprised if the same was the case with the Democrats even with a super majority, since hopefully they would recognise that such a move would damage their chances in future elections. People might support a union cause when they first hear of it (usually it's about striking over insufficient pay), but as soon as the strikes start affecting them personally, that support will vanish, and they will turn on those they hold responsible (which in this case would be the Democrats if they had strengthened the power of the unions dramatically)

on Oct 18, 2008

You may get it, but there's a good chance you won't. To give you an example, in the UK we currently have the labour government in power. To appeal more to the electorate, they decided to rebrand themselves and no longer be the strong pro-Union party that they were historically.

It's a similiar deal in Australia, too. The current Labor government is made up of a significant proportion of former union hacks and receives a great deal of funding from the unions. But its relationship with the unions over the past year has been unfriendly at best, particularly with some of the largest and most radical unions.

The construction union, for example, has been the subject of an inquiry into corruption. The Electrical Workers Union has been denied so consistently there were serious rumbles at the beginning of the year to suggest they would become cease Labor membership altogether.

Unions only have the power of their membership; when hardly anyone is a member, even the political parties they support pay little attention.

The commitments would start slow, so as not to cause immediate alarm. But as U.S. health-care spending flowed into the default government options, taxes would have to rise or services would be rationed, or both. Single payer is the inevitable next step, as Mr. Obama has already said is his ultimate ideal.

Or you could go the way of two systems, where the public system offers better service but with waiting periods, while the private offers instant service but at a steep cost and potentially lower quality of care.(Anecdotal evidence from doctors and nurses I've spoken to in my city suggest the focus on care in public hospitals makes them the best choice for getting better services; private hospitals are too profit-driven to fund adequate nursing care. But, and it's a big but, if you need something done right away and it's not on the 'immediate action' list, private is the way to go).

on Oct 18, 2008

- Union supremacy. One program certain to be given right of way is "card check." Unions have been in decline for decades, now claiming only 7.4% of the private-sector work force, so Big Labor wants to trash the secret-ballot elections that have been in place since the 1930s. The "Employee Free Choice Act" would convert workplaces into union shops merely by gathering signatures from a majority of employees, which means organizers could strongarm those who opposed such a petition.

The bill also imposes a compulsory arbitration regime that results in an automatic two-year union "contract" after 130 days of failed negotiation. The point is to force businesses to recognize a union whether the workers support it or not. This would be the biggest pro-union shift in the balance of labor-management power since the Wagner Act of 1935.

Now there's a solution to outsourcing if I ever saw one... NOT.  Not to mention a lovely enhancement to our global competitiveness.  The equivalent of trying to shovel your way out of a hole.  If we're lucky, they'll suffer an acute attack of common sense before doing this (make that real lucky).

on Oct 18, 2008

the public system offers better service

on Oct 19, 2008

I know, it sounds counter-intuitive, hey. But the word on the ground seems to suggest that when a hospital is run for profit, corners are cut on standards. Not huge ones by any stretch of the imagination, but you get better nurses (higher pay and slightly fewer working hours) and the exact same doctors (the shortage of trained doctors is such that they tend to work everywhere they're needed) in most public hospitals in Australia. And considering how important good nursing care can be, that may well be a deciding factor in your choice of institution.

But it's a much smaller market, so it's entirely possible this divide is just a result of that rather than an innate advantage of public hospitals in a mixed system.

on Oct 19, 2008

I know, it sounds counter-intuitive, hey. But the word on the ground seems to suggest that when a hospital is run for profit, corners are cut on standards. Not huge ones by any stretch of the imagination, but you get better nurses (higher pay and slightly fewer working hours) and the exact same doctors (the shortage of trained doctors is such that they tend to work everywhere they're needed) in most public hospitals in Australia. And considering how important good nursing care can be, that may well be a deciding factor in your choice of institution.

Perhaps. But what's the point? Obama's reform of healthcare is not about socialising the hospitals, it's about giving a federal healthcare plan to the people who cannot afford a private one.

You aren't changing the hospital's way of running things.

on Oct 19, 2008

You aren't changing the hospital's way of running things.

Single-payor means 'single-boss' - which means the needs and desires of the boss (the state) trump those of individuals.  Much of the time they are in sync, a large chunk of the time they are not.  You've already seen what can happen with attempts at social engineering courtesy of  Mr. Frank & Friends - do you really want that same crowd in charge of healthcare, all of healthcare?

on Oct 20, 2008

Single-payor means 'single-boss' - which means the needs and desires of the boss (the state) trump those of individuals. Much of the time they are in sync, a large chunk of the time they are not. You've already seen what can happen with attempts at social engineering courtesy of Mr. Frank & Friends - do you really want that same crowd in charge of healthcare, all of healthcare?

Ok. Now, wait a minute.

There are two ways of socializing healthcare. First, trough the insurance. Second, trough the hospital.

Currently, in Quebec, our major costs are rising because of some of the mis-management of some hospitals. You can free one side while keeping the other,

What Obama wants is providing a federal healthcare coverage for those who cannot afford it. People with that coverage will still go to the hospital they want, and the hospital they want will bill them like they do any other customer.

on Oct 20, 2008

What Obama wants is providing a federal healthcare coverage for those who cannot afford it.

And for those who dont want to pay for it.  Big difference.  And in the end, the only way to solve the inherant problem is to nationalize the whole program.  While some may argue that the abuse, inefficiency and cost over runs are not on the government side, one only has to look at any government program to find that those 3 sisters are the SOP of government run programs.

on Oct 20, 2008

And for those who dont want to pay for it

Which is still very good for somebody who just lost his job. Or got laid off, or just unlucky. Or has a pre-existing condition. How much stress are you going to take off of the shoulders of the workers in America with such a plan?

on Oct 20, 2008

Cikomyr


And for those who dont want to pay for it
Which is still very good for somebody who just lost his job. Or got laid off, or just unlucky. Or has a pre-existing condition. How much stress are you going to take off of the shoulders of the workers in America with such a plan?

Sounds like a job for charity.  Let those who believe as you do pay for it. But it's pretty ridiculous for people to act like it's compassionate when it's all being paid for by a tiny % of the population.

on Oct 20, 2008

And for those who dont want to pay for it

Which is still very good for somebody who just lost his job. Or got laid off, or just unlucky. Or has a pre-existing condition. How much stress are you going to take off of the shoulders of the workers in America with such a plan?

Better re-read my comment.  Not cant pay for it - are unwilling to pay for it (which implies they can, but they know a steal when they see one).

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