Conventional wisdom says that high turn out means victory for Democrats.

While it is possible Kerry may win still, I don't think the pollsters have adequately taken into account just how high the turn-out is amongst Bush voters.

Today my wife and I voted. And unlike 4 years ago, the lines were long. Not only were they long but looking at the pages of marked off voters, even at 10am this morning, most registered voters on the pages I saw had already voted. Incredible. Never seen anything like it. And our precinct is probably 90% Republican.

I did notice one other thing - I didn't see anyone under 30 voting. So the much discussed "youth vote" may not turn out and without that, Bush has an advantage.

Unfortunately, my vote may be countered by someone's pet or a dead person since I live in Michigan where the UAW and MoveOn.org are likely doing some very bad things based on reports.