Decisive Victory for Bush

Bush defeats Kerry

Published on November 3, 2004 By Draginol In Politics

The call has been made. Bush has won the election. It was more decisive than anyone would have believed.

Bush: 286 Electoral Votes to Kerry's 252.

Bush also won 51% of the overall popular vote, a definite majority of the overall vote. What's also significant is that turn out was very high this year. More people voted this year than any previous election by a significant margin (about 115,000,000 votes). Bush won by almost 4 million votes overall.

For those who dislike the Republicans and Bush, the news is actually much worse than that, however. Bush's party amazingly picked up FOUR senate seats (which is really remarkable). The Democratic leader of the senate was even defeated which is the first time in over 50 years that something like that has happened. Bush now appears to have a 55 to 44 Senate advantage.

And to pile it on, Bush's party also picked up seats in the House of Representatives. What that means is that Bush policies will be much more easy to get through than previous.

It's not what I predicted. On October 15th, The Political Machine simulated AI vs. AI with the issues as we tweaked them and it showed a 274 to 264 Kerry advantage. TPM had narrowly given Ohio, New Mexico and Iowa to Kerry. (47 out of 50 ain't bad for a video game).

Bush picked up two states that were Gore states in 2000 - Iowa and New Mexico. And Kerry picked up New Hampshire, which borders Kerry's home state which had gone for Bush in 2000.

So now the question is, what happened? And for non-Americans, what does this mean? I'll be writing about that in the coming days.

Comments (Page 2)

T B

on Nov 04, 2004

The problem for our country is 49% do not want what Bush is selling.

Actually (based on initial estimates) about 40% of the registered voter age people in the country didn't even vote. That means only about 19.5% voted against Bush. And your statement assumes that 100% of those were adamant in their vote against Bush (not likely or even probable). Even giving you the benefit of the doubt (assuming almost ALL Kerry voters hated Bush and his policies) that's only 1 out of 6 that don't want what "Bush is selling".

drmiler

on Nov 04, 2004

Reply #17 By: T B - 11/4/2004 7:11:53 PM
The problem for our country is 49% do not want what Bush is selling.

Actually (based on initial estimates) about 40% of the registered voter age people in the country didn't even vote. That means only about 19.5% voted against Bush. And your statement assumes that 100% of those were adamant in their vote against Bush (not likely or even probable). Even giving you the benefit of the doubt (assuming almost ALL Kerry voters hated Bush and his policies) that's only 1 out of 6 that don't want what "Bush is selling".

To Col Gene.... NOW who's in the minority?

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