Brad Wardell's views about technology, politics, religion, world affairs, and all sorts of politically incorrect topics.
Published on October 18, 2012 By Draginol In Politics

Headline: Obama has a 3 point lead over Romney in the latest ABC/Washington post poll.

As a stat nut, I like to look at the internals.  So here they are:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/polls/postabcpoll_20121013.html

Lots of interesting stuff in there. Especially when you get to the bottom:

image

Wait a second.  So they changed their sample size since the September (pre debate) poll to give Democrats a +9 point advantage in likely voters versus a 3 point advantage of LV in September?

That seems odd.


Comments
on Oct 19, 2012

Bettin dat's wunna them thar reetorrikle keschuns.

on Oct 19, 2012

Pat Caddell spoke recently on the bias in the media especially with the polls, .">http://youtu.be/brDZJA8j-.

 

Everyone knows the polls have not been even but they continue to get run by MSM.  Caddell explains that 2008 was a record turnout year for Democrats in many states such as Florida and more recent numbers show losing members in the hundreds of thousands for the DNC.  Caddell tries to identify the cause and effect of this media bias being to stir up hype for the Obama campaign.  Pat Caddell is a former DNC pollster speaking at Accuracy in Media

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