Brad Wardell's views about technology, politics, religion, world affairs, and all sorts of politically incorrect topics.
A look at Republican and Democrat voter statistics
Published on February 3, 2004 By Draginol In Politics

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2000/results/index.epolls.html

I tend to be pretty caustic on debates because I don't have much patience for people who confuse their personal experiences or their feelings as facts. I like statistics but I understand why many if not most people stay away from them. Statistics can be manipulated to come about to nearly any conclusion. So it often takes a lot of time and effort to sift through the crap to get to actual meaningful data.

Even exit polls are full of stuff that are useless.  For instance, they talk about things like "What class do you consider yourself part of"  Other than for its psychological value, it is fairly meaningless.  But demographic data is hard to twist.  Things like "How much do you make" or "Are you married". It's very hard to twist that around.

Some stats of interest from the last election.

Are You Married? All Gore Bush Buchanan Nader
Yes 65 % 44 % 53 % 1 % 2 %
No 35 % 57 % 38 % 0 % 4 %
 

Married people preferred Bush 53 to 38.

 

Vote by Income All Gore Bush Buchanan Nader
Under $15,000 7 % 57 % 37 % 1 % 4 %
$15-30,000 16 % 54 % 41 % 1 % 3 %
$30-50,000 24 % 49 % 48 % 0 % 2 %
$50-75,000 25 % 46 % 51 % 0 % 2 %
$75-100,000 13 % 45 % 52 % 0 % 2 %
Over $100,000 15 % 43 % 54 % 0 % 2 %
 

People who pay federal taxes (people making over $30k per year -- $28k and below generally get fed taxes back at tax refund time) supported Bush. Only reason why last election was close was because "the poor" overwhelmingly supported Gore.

 

Vote by Education All Gore Bush Buchanan Nader
No H.S. Degree 5 % 59 % 39 % 1 % 1 %
High School Graduate 21 % 48 % 49 % 1 % 1 %
Some College 32 % 45 % 51 % 0 % 3 %
College Graduate 24 % 45 % 51 % 0 % 3 %
Post-Graduate Degree 18 % 52 % 44 % 0 % 3 %

Similarly while those in academia overwhelmingly liked Gore, those who just went to college to get out into the real world overwhelmingly liked Bush.

People who didn't even graduate from high school overwhelmingly liked Gore.

You see the correlation though - people who don't finish high school end up poor and need public assistance and end up voting for the candidate of the party promising to take from the producers to give to them.

I don't pretend to care about fairness in results. When someone yelled that Gore won the popular vote, that meant nothing to me. I don't care. Because I knew these stats. The margin for Gore's popular vote came from people who are on the dole. My greatest fear for my country is that over time we will become a nation of dependents. Look at those stats. The people who don't finish high school and end up poor are overwhelmingly supportive of Democrats. Over time, as services creep up into the middle class, you will slowly erode our freedoms and end up with a nation of dependents.  Take the adults who actually work for a living and the election wasn't really that close. Take the people who finished high school on up (Even those in academia) put them together and Bush won there too.

If you go through all the exit polls and start thinking about what the numbers mean you start to get a pretty clear picture of things.  The nation isn't as evenly divided (not in 2000 anyway) as some say. You have a slight but definite majority of those who work for a living, finished high school, and are living responsible lives in support of Bush. And you have a massive majority of those who have made poor choices in life who have their hands out waiting for the government to be their mom voting for Gore. And because there's now enough people who fit into that category, it has the effect of making elections quite close.

Which puts the Democrats in a position of wanting people to fail because as people fail in life, they inevitably become dependents of the government and hence constituents of the Democrats.  The only major exception to that are those in Academia or others who are exquisitely well educated who, in my opinion, are divorced from practical reality who imagine the down-trodden as victims of the rich or victims of powerful interests.

There are lots of ways to fail in life. But if you actually meet 1000 people who fall into the poor/uneducated/dependent category you'll find that the majority of them (if you don't believe this, use Google, this data is readily available) did at least 2 of the following:

1) Got pregnant before marriage

2) Didn't finish high school

3) Became addicted to a controlled substance

Note that I said two, not one. Everyone makes mistakes, but those who end up dependents of the government are typically guilty of having made two of those mistakes.  Sure, there are plenty of exceptions to that (so don't write letters about how your 28 year old friend's husband died leaving her with 4 kids, yes, there are legitimate victims in this). But in generally this is what causes someone to be dependent.

But many people choose not to learn about these things. It's a lot easier to say that Republicans are just a bunch of cold heartless bastards who are so greedy with their money that they don't want to help the downtrodden. The reality is that you will always have a certain percentage of the population that are just..well frankly just a bunch of losers. Throw money at them and they'll squander it and end up losers anyway. And when 60% of federal outlays now are about taking money from one person to give to another, I think it's fair to say that conservatives are already giving a lot.

Let's look at the stats again:

15% of the voters  makes over $100,000. Bush got their votes 54-43. That's a 11% margin (a massive landslide). Those people pay 54% of the federal taxes in this country. Heck, 90+% of the taxes are paid by those who make $50,000 or more which are all overwhelmingly Bush voters.  Like it or not, the picture is pretty darn clear -- the ones who vote for politicians for free goodies are, by and large, not paying for those goodies. They are basically using the federal government as a tool for self-enrichment.  Next time someone calls conservatives greedy, keep that in mind. It's not conservative (generally) voting for politicians promising to confiscate other people's money to hand over to them.

Will the United States eventually become a nation of dependents? It sure seems we're heading down that path. Now we have Bush and the Democrats both trying to outbid one another to hand out freebies to people.


Comments (Page 5)
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on Feb 09, 2004
No. What I am saying is that poor people, regardless of how hard they work, are not paying federal income taxes. Do you understand this? Let me say it again: Poor people do not pay federal income taxes. What you quoted was a portion of an analogy. If the country were a party the poor guy is the one sitting there drinking beer without paying for the party. You are trying (hopefully not intentioally) to extend my analogy to meaning that they don't work. This really isn't a very complicated discussion. I am starting to wonder whether some of you are simply unable to debate the actual point and as a result find the need to throw up strawman after strawman. Poor people, regardless of work, pay no federla income taxes. Any that they do pay comes back to them in the form of a refund. Statistically, government welfare programs go to the poor. That doesn't mean all poor people receive them, but the people receiving government programs are poor. Therefore, I don't see how their vote should count more than the vote for the rich. Second point is that those who are poor tend to vote for Democrats who in turn promise to provde them with more goodies. Note that I did not say every poor person votes for a Democrat. But the statistics are pretty clear here - those who are poor are more likely to vote for Democrats. What I find intellectually dishonest is that no left wingers will simply come out and say "Yea, that's because Democrats promise them more aid." The rich tend to vote for Republicans because Republicans tend to lower their taxes. The difference is that Republicans are simply taking away less of a person's money whereas Democrats are taking money from someone else and handing it to someone else.
on Feb 09, 2004
I apologise Brad for mistaking your analogy. It was certainly not intentional and now that you've re-explained it I can see your point.

Your analogy however fails to appreciate that many of the taxes which pay for that party also come from other sources which that poor person does contribute to or have an equal right of (Vat, company tax, natural resources). It is also still suggestive that the poor person doesn't work as opposse to not earning enough.

I do have a problem with poor people paying no taxes. I don't have a problem with them receiving benefits though. I would prefer to see a more transparent system where everyone who worked paid taxes, and everyone who received benefit paid for it in some form or other. Acceptable forms to me would include, previous contributions to social security, raising kids, part time working for government (work for dole programes). More carefully run forms would include disability benefits, health care, pension. In these cases I'd like better checking and serious efforts to bring these people fully into society so they are not fringe unappreciated groups.

Paul.
on Feb 09, 2004

Solitair: Bear in mind that my response on that point was to someone who suggested that the votes of the poor should count for more than the votes of the rich.

Let's cut to the chase: If you were to take a survey of voters who are on welfare or are, by whatever definition you care to use, are dependents of the government, who do you think they vote for?

on Feb 09, 2004
You have a problem with people making less than what the US defines as below the amount necessary to have the basic needs of the individual met paying no taxes? That sounds a little harsh.
And most people on welfare don't vote. Though I do agree, when they vote, they vote democrat. You say that as if it were a bad thing. Perhaps I should start a blog condemning rich people for voting for their party of choice.
on Sep 25, 2004
Excellent artical...............this is why the democrats have dumbed down the schools, have advocated early sexual activity, etc.
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