Brad Wardell's views about technology, politics, religion, world affairs, and all sorts of politically incorrect topics.
A look at Republican and Democrat voter statistics
Published on February 3, 2004 By Draginol In Politics

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2000/results/index.epolls.html

I tend to be pretty caustic on debates because I don't have much patience for people who confuse their personal experiences or their feelings as facts. I like statistics but I understand why many if not most people stay away from them. Statistics can be manipulated to come about to nearly any conclusion. So it often takes a lot of time and effort to sift through the crap to get to actual meaningful data.

Even exit polls are full of stuff that are useless.  For instance, they talk about things like "What class do you consider yourself part of"  Other than for its psychological value, it is fairly meaningless.  But demographic data is hard to twist.  Things like "How much do you make" or "Are you married". It's very hard to twist that around.

Some stats of interest from the last election.

Are You Married? All Gore Bush Buchanan Nader
Yes 65 % 44 % 53 % 1 % 2 %
No 35 % 57 % 38 % 0 % 4 %
 

Married people preferred Bush 53 to 38.

 

Vote by Income All Gore Bush Buchanan Nader
Under $15,000 7 % 57 % 37 % 1 % 4 %
$15-30,000 16 % 54 % 41 % 1 % 3 %
$30-50,000 24 % 49 % 48 % 0 % 2 %
$50-75,000 25 % 46 % 51 % 0 % 2 %
$75-100,000 13 % 45 % 52 % 0 % 2 %
Over $100,000 15 % 43 % 54 % 0 % 2 %
 

People who pay federal taxes (people making over $30k per year -- $28k and below generally get fed taxes back at tax refund time) supported Bush. Only reason why last election was close was because "the poor" overwhelmingly supported Gore.

 

Vote by Education All Gore Bush Buchanan Nader
No H.S. Degree 5 % 59 % 39 % 1 % 1 %
High School Graduate 21 % 48 % 49 % 1 % 1 %
Some College 32 % 45 % 51 % 0 % 3 %
College Graduate 24 % 45 % 51 % 0 % 3 %
Post-Graduate Degree 18 % 52 % 44 % 0 % 3 %

Similarly while those in academia overwhelmingly liked Gore, those who just went to college to get out into the real world overwhelmingly liked Bush.

People who didn't even graduate from high school overwhelmingly liked Gore.

You see the correlation though - people who don't finish high school end up poor and need public assistance and end up voting for the candidate of the party promising to take from the producers to give to them.

I don't pretend to care about fairness in results. When someone yelled that Gore won the popular vote, that meant nothing to me. I don't care. Because I knew these stats. The margin for Gore's popular vote came from people who are on the dole. My greatest fear for my country is that over time we will become a nation of dependents. Look at those stats. The people who don't finish high school and end up poor are overwhelmingly supportive of Democrats. Over time, as services creep up into the middle class, you will slowly erode our freedoms and end up with a nation of dependents.  Take the adults who actually work for a living and the election wasn't really that close. Take the people who finished high school on up (Even those in academia) put them together and Bush won there too.

If you go through all the exit polls and start thinking about what the numbers mean you start to get a pretty clear picture of things.  The nation isn't as evenly divided (not in 2000 anyway) as some say. You have a slight but definite majority of those who work for a living, finished high school, and are living responsible lives in support of Bush. And you have a massive majority of those who have made poor choices in life who have their hands out waiting for the government to be their mom voting for Gore. And because there's now enough people who fit into that category, it has the effect of making elections quite close.

Which puts the Democrats in a position of wanting people to fail because as people fail in life, they inevitably become dependents of the government and hence constituents of the Democrats.  The only major exception to that are those in Academia or others who are exquisitely well educated who, in my opinion, are divorced from practical reality who imagine the down-trodden as victims of the rich or victims of powerful interests.

There are lots of ways to fail in life. But if you actually meet 1000 people who fall into the poor/uneducated/dependent category you'll find that the majority of them (if you don't believe this, use Google, this data is readily available) did at least 2 of the following:

1) Got pregnant before marriage

2) Didn't finish high school

3) Became addicted to a controlled substance

Note that I said two, not one. Everyone makes mistakes, but those who end up dependents of the government are typically guilty of having made two of those mistakes.  Sure, there are plenty of exceptions to that (so don't write letters about how your 28 year old friend's husband died leaving her with 4 kids, yes, there are legitimate victims in this). But in generally this is what causes someone to be dependent.

But many people choose not to learn about these things. It's a lot easier to say that Republicans are just a bunch of cold heartless bastards who are so greedy with their money that they don't want to help the downtrodden. The reality is that you will always have a certain percentage of the population that are just..well frankly just a bunch of losers. Throw money at them and they'll squander it and end up losers anyway. And when 60% of federal outlays now are about taking money from one person to give to another, I think it's fair to say that conservatives are already giving a lot.

Let's look at the stats again:

15% of the voters  makes over $100,000. Bush got their votes 54-43. That's a 11% margin (a massive landslide). Those people pay 54% of the federal taxes in this country. Heck, 90+% of the taxes are paid by those who make $50,000 or more which are all overwhelmingly Bush voters.  Like it or not, the picture is pretty darn clear -- the ones who vote for politicians for free goodies are, by and large, not paying for those goodies. They are basically using the federal government as a tool for self-enrichment.  Next time someone calls conservatives greedy, keep that in mind. It's not conservative (generally) voting for politicians promising to confiscate other people's money to hand over to them.

Will the United States eventually become a nation of dependents? It sure seems we're heading down that path. Now we have Bush and the Democrats both trying to outbid one another to hand out freebies to people.


Comments (Page 1)
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on Feb 03, 2004
I have read several of your columns here and don't always agree with your opinion, but on this you are right on. My other question is why these types of stats don't get out more? At least by the conservatives.
on Feb 03, 2004
Excellent Brad!
on Feb 03, 2004
Thanks. These stats are pretty readily available it's just that few people (on either side) tend to look at them. It's hard to argue against exit polls since there is no axe to grind by either side.
on Feb 03, 2004
When I read that, I started wondering why, if politicians pander to the rich, as some love to claim, are the rich still paying over 90% of the taxes?
on Feb 03, 2004
politics: the art of getting votes from the rich and the poor by promising to protect the one from the other.
Ameringer, Oscar

uh, look at nader's and buchanan's stats. i am going to make a wag that people who voted for crazies like nader and buchanan are left and right respectively.

so if you divide it into left/right you get:

Vote by Education LEFT RIGHT

No H.S. Degree 60 40
High School Graduate 49 50
Some College 48 51
College Graduate 48 51
Post-Graduate Degree 55 44

1-3 and some change percent difference between the three middle groups. whoopee.

vote by Income LEFT RIGHT
Under 61 38
$15-30,000 57 41
$30-50,000 51 48
$50-75,000 48 51
$75-100,000 47 52
Over $100,000 45 54

among $30-$100,000 range: 3-5% and some change. the horror, the horror.

interestingly, buchanan got the most votes among the lower income and uneducated. nader's numbers are just weird.

on Feb 03, 2004
Gawd, I'm don't even got one'er dem "Post-Graduate Degree" and see thru yer false reasonin skills.

Marriage stats: Is this cause or effect? Would you agree "conservatives" get married at a higher rate? Is the implication that married people have less government entitlements? I would like to see the correlation. Assertion / Facts.

Income: The wealthy support conservatives? Wow. This is a shocker!

Education: Wow - another shocker. Highly educated people are highly liberal!

Would it generally be accurate to say - people support policies / politicians which are most likely to improve their situation personally. This I think sums up your point in a manner which requires a great deal less vertical scrollbar interaction

>>> Over time, as services creep up into the middle class, you will slowly erode our freedoms and end up with a nation of dependents.

Assertion -> Facts ? Sloppy, sloppy.

>>> And you have a massive majority of those who have made poor choices in life who have their hands out waiting for the government to be their mom voting for Gore.

By your own numbers - a 20% difference in a population making up only 5% of the total votes cast! Hardly a "massive majority". Sloppy sloppy statistics.



>>> "Let's look at the stats again:"

oh yeah thats what this was about

>>> Like it or not, the picture is pretty darn clear -- the ones who vote for politicians for free goodies are, by and large, not paying for those goodies. They are basically using the federal government as a tool for self-enrichment.

And... so... ? Is this a "conservative call to arms" to overthrow the "squalorous masses robbing the vaults of the truely deserving"? [hey I just made that up!]

It seems to me, STATISTICALLY (since you like stats), that if a majority decides to enact policy redristributing weath from the rich to the.. "bunch of losers", AND the policy is not sufficiently discouraging to cause the "adults who actually work for a living" to stop working - then we have an equilibrium. We have, in fact - a perfect market condition. God bless capitalism.
on Feb 03, 2004
Whilist I cannot speak for the US, in Australia the rich pay amost pay no tax, this is depending on what you call the rich of course, I am refering to those on income above $250k, in this fine country it is Middle Australia which pays the majority of taxs, and I would say that this would be the case for the US as well, as for stats, stats that come from the those gathered form all by governments tend to give very good insights, however statistics gather by pols are not worh a pinch of shit in my eyes, as these can be manipulated by both the types of questions and the areas and demographic polled, which is why you often see the preffered candidate in the Democrate Primaries , not reflected in the outcome, if the above stastic are from government agencies they are interesting, as I said if they are just from polls.......
on Feb 03, 2004
Poet, that was a pretty lame attempt at trolling.

Lots of ad hominems, little substance there.
on Feb 03, 2004
Zerg: In the United States the rich (those making $300,000 or more) pay 34% of the federal taxes. They represent 1% of the population. So they're definitely doing their fair share.
on Feb 03, 2004
Brad, It is truly a shame that you must suffer the shortcomings of other people. Maybe someone should start a faith-based charity for unfortunates such as yourself. Perhaps a eugenics program is in order, let's weed out the weak. Social Darwinism is simply not working fast enough with all this liberal interference.

We should also open a new federal agency Who Is Lazy, Who Is Not (WILWIN). Catchy is it not? We will have Social Fitness Judges who review peoples' lives and make a determination as to whether they are lazy and shiftless or not. Found guilty? - off to a re-education camp to learn proper discipline and morals. Suffering some bad luck or the results of bad judgment. Off to a rehab program for you. "Prudent Thinking for Losers" sounds like a good name for the class. You suffering from mental illlness or mental handicap? Off to the hospital for sterilization.

Did I miss anyone Brad? Can't have any of the slackers slipping through the net.
on Feb 03, 2004
where is the highest concentration of poor people?

the rural south, overwhelmingly (to uses brad's term) in support of Bush.
on Feb 03, 2004
it seems as though web-master brad is at work again censoring posts that are out of line with his telling people how to think. such is the place or power and privelege
on Feb 03, 2004
j swift --

amen, brother, roll on!
on Feb 03, 2004
as usual or as might be expected, the stat results that brad 'chose' to use are highly selctive to show points he is trying to make in support of his views. i suggest you go to the site link and read 'all' the numbers for yourself. they are quite more telling. http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2000/results/index.epolls.html
on Feb 03, 2004
I've not deleted any comments in this discussion. Though for you, I might make an exception.
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